Lab Leak

possible origin of covid-19 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_lab_leak_theory

• cf gain-of-function research
• we'll probably never know for sure because of China obstruction and the WHO's kow-towing to them
• (2024-01-16) ZviM Medical Roundup1: If we have almost one confirmed lab leak per year, and given the other circumstances, it would almost be surprising if Covid-19 wasn’t a lab leak. Was Covid a lab leak? We don’t know. At this point it seems more likely than not. This is very similar to the question of existential risk from AI. Any reasonable person, given the evidence, should say the lab leak has substantial probability, as does natural origin... Was Covid a lab leak? We don’t know. At this point it seems more likely than not. That statement should drive huge changes in policy. A lot of people should be rethinking quite a lot of things. That is true even if (as I expect) we never know the answer for sure. This is very similar to the question of existential risk from AI. Any reasonable person, given the evidence, should say the lab leak has substantial probability, as does natural origin. Once you think the number is substantial, it does not much matter if your probability of the lab leak is 30%, 50%, 70% or 90%. They should drive most of the same changes in policy, and the same reflections. They won’t.