Causal Layered Analysis

CLA is one of several futures techniques used as a means to inquire into the causes of social phenomena and to generate a set of forecasts as to the future course of the phenomena. As a theory, CLA seeks to integrate empiricist, interpretive, critical and action learning modes of knowing (loosely, science, social science, philosophy and mythology). As a method, its utility is not in predicting the future but in creating transformative spaces for the creation of alternative futures. It is also likely to be of use in developing more effective - deeper, inclusive, longer term - policy.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_layered_analysis

http://www.scenariosforsustainability.org/recipes/cla.html

http://www.metafuture.org/Books/causal_layered_analysis_reader.htm

http://metafuture.org/Articles/CausalLayeredAnalysis.htm

CommunityWiki:CausalLayeredAnalysis